Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Galway United win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.