League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Sam Glenfield 52' yellowcard
  • Jörgen Voilas 53' yellowcard
  • Trae Coyle 53' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 53' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 55' goal
  • goal John Martin 13'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Costa Freitas 66'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 66'
  • yellowcard Maill Lundgren 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 83'

Waterford United vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Nov 7, 2025 7.45pm
Bray 1 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
Shelbourne 0 - 0 St Patrick's
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 2-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Waterford United 31.76% (-0.11)
Draw 26.19% (-0.01)
Shelbourne 42.05% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.08% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.92% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.35% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 17.82%
Under 4.5 82.18%

First Half Winner

Waterford United 25.27% (-0.02)
Draw 45.38% (+0.02)
Shelbourne 29.35%

Team To Score First

Waterford United 43.19% (+0.16)
No Goal 6.7% (+0.03)
Shelbourne 50.11% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 57.74% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 31% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.28% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 42.26% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.55% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.45% (+0.02)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 35.21% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 64.79% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 13% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.03% (+0.02)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 75.25% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 24.75% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 43.48% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 56.52% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 19.35% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.65% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.11% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.89% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Waterford United 31.75%
Draw 26.2%
Shelbourne 42.06%
Waterford United
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.78% (-0.04)
Total : 31.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.22%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 26.2%
Shelbourne
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.83% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.34% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.44% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.41% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.92% (+0.04)
Total : 42.06%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 5, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 48' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 3'
  • goal Padraig Amond 3'
  • yellowcard Stephen McMullan 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Ryan Burke 61' redcard
  • goal Ademipo Odubeko 14'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 18'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 30'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 30'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 60'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 40' goal
  • Mark Coyle 65' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 80' goal
  • Liam Burt 84' goal
  • Ben McCormack 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 37'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 49'
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 78'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Dean McMenamy 35' yellowcard
  • Ben McCormack 61' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 73' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lunney 76' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Will Jarvis 55'
  • yellowcard Niall O'Keeffe 73'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 81'
  • yellowcard Conor Kearns 84'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 84'