Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Tommy Lonergan 10' goal
  • Conor Carty 45' goal
  • Conor Carty 45'+1' goal
  • Evan McLaughlin 58' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Murphy 18'
  • yellowcard Cian Murphy 20'
  • goal Sean McGrath 56'

Waterford United vs Kerry - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 11.00am
Waterford 0 - 1 Cork City

Kerry

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
Kerry 2 - 4 Treaty United

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Kerry had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kerry win was 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Waterford United 47.88% (-0.97)
Draw 23.37% (-0.92)
Kerry 28.75% (+1.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.5% (+2.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.76% (+1.74)
Under 1.5 19.24% (-1.74)
Over 2.5 59.72% (+2.40)
Under 2.5 40.28% (-2.40)
Over 3.5 37.18% (+2.57)
Under 3.5 62.82% (-2.57)
Over 4.5 22.65% (+1.93)
Under 4.5 77.35% (-1.94)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 34.65% (-2.36)
Draw 38.53% (-1.93)
Kerry 26.83% (+4.29)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 54.57% (-2.66)
No Goal 5.41% (-0.79)
Kerry 40.02% (+3.45)

Corners

Over 8 61.64% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.09% (+0.09)
Under 8 27.27% (-0.18)
Over 9 49.98% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.10)
Under 9 38.36% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 38.77% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 61.23% (+0.11)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 50.19% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 49.81% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 25.48% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 74.52% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 10.79% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 89.21% (-0.52)

Kerry Goals

Over 0.5 64.85% (+1.87)
Under 0.5 35.15% (-1.88)
Over 1.5 34.01% (+2.47)
Under 1.5 65.99% (-2.47)
Over 2.5 13.5% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 86.5% (-1.50)
Over 3.5 4.48% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 95.52% (-0.75)

Score analysis

Waterford United 47.88%
Draw 23.36%
Kerry 28.75%
Waterford United
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.75)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.59)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 3.49% (+0.24)
Other @ 10.62% (+0.53)
Total : 47.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 6% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.79)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.02)
Total : 23.36%
Kerry
1-2 @ 7.06% (+0.41)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.96% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.18% (+0.44)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.36)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.31% (+0.76)
Total : 28.75%