Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Tommy Lonergan 10' goal
  • Conor Carty 45' goal
  • Conor Carty 45'+1' goal
  • Evan McLaughlin 58' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Murphy 18'
  • yellowcard Cian Murphy 20'
  • goal Sean McGrath 56'

Waterford United vs Kerry - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 10.00am
Waterford 0 - 1 Cork City

Kerry

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
Treaty United 2 - 4 Kerry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Kerry had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kerry win was 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Waterford United 47.88% ▼ (-0.97)
Draw 23.37% ▼ (-0.92)
Kerry 28.75% ▲ (+1.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.5% ▲ (+2.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.76% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 1.5 19.24% ▼ (-1.74)
Over 2.5 59.72% ▲ (+2.40)
Under 2.5 40.28% ▼ (-2.40)
Over 3.5 37.18% ▲ (+2.57)
Under 3.5 62.82% ▼ (-2.57)
Over 4.5 22.65% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 4.5 77.35% ▼ (-1.94)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 34.65% ▼ (-2.36)
Draw 38.53% ▼ (-1.93)
Kerry 26.83% ▲ (+4.29)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 54.57% ▼ (-2.66)
No Goal 5.41% ▼ (-0.79)
Kerry 40.02% ▲ (+3.45)

Corners

Over 8 61.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 27.27% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 9 49.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.65% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 9 38.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 38.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 61.23% ▲ (+0.11)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 50.19% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 49.81% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 25.48% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 2.5 74.52% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 3.5 10.79% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 3.5 89.21% ▼ (-0.52)

Kerry Goals

Over 0.5 64.85% ▲ (+1.87)
Under 0.5 35.15% ▼ (-1.88)
Over 1.5 34.01% ▲ (+2.47)
Under 1.5 65.99% ▼ (-2.47)
Over 2.5 13.5% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 2.5 86.5% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 3.5 4.48% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 95.52% ▼ (-0.75)

Score analysis

Waterford United 47.88%
Draw 23.36%
Kerry 28.75%
Waterford United
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.75)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.53)
Total : 47.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.79)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.36%
Kerry
1-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.41)
0-1 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.44)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.76)
Total : 28.75%