Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Treaty United win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Kerry had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Treaty United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Kerry win was 1-0 (10.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%).