Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.16% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.55%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Longford Town win it was 1-2 (4.34%).