Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.31% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.24%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.