Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bray Wanderers win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bray Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (9.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.