Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 55.77%. A win for St Mochtas had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest St Mochtas win was 1-2 (6.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.