Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bray Wanderers had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Bray Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.