Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Cork City win was 1-0 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.