Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 74.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.38% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 9.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%) , while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.