Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.92% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.