Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
Finn Park

Finn Harps vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Finn Harps

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
Sligo 0 - 1 Finn Harps

Derry City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 2.00pm
Sligo 1 - 0 Derry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw has a probability of 25.26% and a win for Finn Harps has a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Finn Harps win it is 1-0 (6.68%).

Result

Finn Harps 22.79% (-0.08)
Draw 25.26% (+0.03)
Derry City 51.94% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.63% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 25.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.54% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.46% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.8% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Finn Harps 18.77% (-0.06)
Draw 41.65% (+0.11)
Derry City 39.59% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Finn Harps 32.97% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.41% (+0.01)
Derry City 59.62% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.45% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 40.83% (+0.01)
Over 9 36.42% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 52.55% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 26.85% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 73.15% (+0.02)

Finn Harps Goals

Over 1.5 25.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.69% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.69%
Under 2.5 92.31%
Over 3.5 2.03% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.97% (-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 79.27%
Under 0.5 20.73%
Over 1.5 48.64% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.36% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 23.05%
Under 2.5 76.95%
Over 3.5 9.19%
Under 3.5 90.81%

Score analysis

Finn Harps 22.8%
Draw 25.27%
Derry City 51.95%
Finn Harps
1-0 @ 6.68% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 25.27%
Derry City
0-1 @ 11.3% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.05% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64%
Other @ 9.06% (-0.01)
Total : 51.95%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Duffy 19' goal
  • Brandon Kavanagh 61' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 90'+3' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Jul 17, 2022 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Jones 31' goal
  • Harry Nicholson 44' yellowcard
  • Rob Slevin 49' yellowcard
  • Ryan Rainey 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Connolly 62' yellowcard
  • Conor Tourish 68' yellowcard
  • Ethan Boyle 69' yellowcard
  • Filip Mihaljevic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick McEleney 66'
  • goal Ryan Graydon 80'
  • goal James Akintunde 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • William Patching 22' goal
  • 33' yellowcard
  • Eoin Toal 90'+4' goal
  • goal Filip Mihaljevic 8'
  • yellowcard Ollie Horgan 41'
  • yellowcard 44'
  • goal Eric McWoods 61'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elie N'Zeyi 18' yellowcard
  • Conor Tourish 48' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Filip Mihaljevic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cameron McJannett 23'
  • goal William Patching 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shane McEleney 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan Rainey 56' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Jordan Mustoe 71' yellowcard
  • Ethan Boyle 83' goal
  • Karl O'Sullivan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron McJannett 38'
  • yellowcard Eoin Toal 76'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 27
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Junior Ogedi-Uzokwe 20' goal
  • Danny Lafferty 24' yellowcard
  • Cameron McJannett 65' yellowcard
  • Joseph Thomson 90' goal
  • Joseph Thomson 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Will Seymore 35'
  • yellowcard Kosovar Sadiki 38'
  • goal Jordan Mustoe 40'
  • goal Ryan Rainey 62'
  • yellowcard Karl O'Sullivan 81'
  • yellowcard Ethan Boyle 90'
  • redcard Mark McGinley 90'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 90'