Club Friendlies 3
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs Institute - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
Finn Harps 0 - 0 Derry

Institute

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw has a probability of 18.56% and a win for Institute has a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Institute win it is 0-1 (4.52%).

Result

Derry City 71.51% (-0.04)
Draw 18.56% (+0.08)
Institute 9.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.22% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.35% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 25.65% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.38% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.38% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.62% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Derry City 52.73% (-0.03)
Draw 36.66% (+0.02)
Institute 10.61%

Team To Score First

Derry City 70.19% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.65% (+0.04)
Institute 23.16%

Corners

Over 8 54.63% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 33.15% (-0.04)
Over 9 42.51% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.37% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.52%
Under 10.5 68.48%

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 59.76% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 40.24% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 32.63% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 67.37% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 14.51% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.49% (+0.04)

Institute Goals

Over 0.5 41.7% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 58.3% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 10.44%
Under 1.5 89.56%
Over 2.5 0.76%
Under 2.5 99.24%
Over 3.5 0.05%
Under 3.5 99.95%

Score analysis

Derry City 71.5%
Draw 18.58%
Institute 9.93%
Derry City
1-0 @ 14.49% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 13.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 14.5% (-0.04)
Total : 71.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.65% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.58%
Institute
0-1 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 9.93%