/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fderlog.png)
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8'
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McColgan
8'
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19'
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Doherty
19'
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83'
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Doherty
83'
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51'
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Hegarty
51'
Derry City vs Institute - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Institute had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.5%) and 2-1 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%) , while for a Institute win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result
Derry City
72.15%
▲
(+0.65)
Draw
18%
▼
(-0.56)
Institute
9.85%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
45.66%
▲
(+0.44)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.22%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 1.5
24.78%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 2.5
50.76%
▲
(+1.24)
Under 2.5
49.24%
▼
(-1.24)
Over 3.5
27.86%
▲
(+1.24)
Under 3.5
72.14%
▼
(-1.24)
Over 4.5
18.43%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 4.5
81.57%
▼
(-1.06)
First Half Winner
Derry City
53.33%
▲
(+0.61)
Draw
35.85%
▼
(-0.81)
Institute
10.82%
▲
(+0.22)
Team To Score First
Derry City
70.09%
▼
(-0.10)
No Goal
6.35%
▼
(-0.31)
Institute
23.56%
▲
(+0.40)
Corners
Over 8
54.58%
▼
(-0.06)
Equal 8
12.31%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 8
33.11%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
42.38%
▼
(-0.13)
Equal 9
12.2%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 9
45.42%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 10.5
31.35%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 10.5
68.65%
▲
(+0.18)
Derry City Goals
Over 1.5
60.88%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
39.12%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 2.5
34.05%
▲
(+1.42)
Under 2.5
65.95%
▼
(-1.43)
Over 3.5
15.47%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 3.5
84.53%
▼
(-0.96)
Institute Goals
Over 0.5
41.37%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
58.63%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
10.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
89.55%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
0.85%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
99.15%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
0.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
99.9%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Derry City
72.14%
Draw
18.02%
Institute
9.86%
Derry City
1-0
@
14.04%
▼
(-0.46)
2-0 @ 13.5% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.46% ▲ (+0.97)
Total : 72.14%
2-0 @ 13.5% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.46% ▲ (+0.97)
Total : 72.14%
Draw
1-1
@
9.21%
▼
(-0.24)
0-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.02%
0-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.02%
Institute
0-1
@
4.41%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 9.86%
1-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 9.86%