League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs Sligo Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 8.00pm
Drogheda 2 - 0 Waterford
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 7.45pm
Sligo 0 - 4 Bohemians
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Jad Hakiki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Waterford United win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Sligo Rovers has a probability of 28.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win is 1-2 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

Waterford United 46.33% (+0.09)
Draw 25.12% (-0.03)
Sligo Rovers 28.55% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.31% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.28% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 19.72% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 59.11% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 40.89% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 36.04% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 63.96% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 20.76% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 79.24% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 31.95% (+0.06)
Draw 43.06% (-0.01)
Sligo Rovers 24.99% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 52.32% (+0.18)
No Goal 5.35% (-0.06)
Sligo Rovers 42.33% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 64.53% (+0.89)
Equal 8 10.13% (-0.09)
Under 8 25.34% (-0.79)
Over 9 53.66% (+0.90)
Equal 9 10.87% (-0.04)
Under 9 35.47% (-0.89)
Over 10.5 42.9% (+0.86)
Under 10.5 57.1% (-0.86)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 49.73% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 50.27% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 23.19% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 76.81% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 8.66% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 91.34% (-0.11)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 66.9% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.19% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.81% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.69% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.31% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Waterford United 46.33%
Draw 25.13%
Sligo Rovers 28.56%
Waterford United
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.04)
Other @ 8.38% (+0.11)
Total : 46.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 7.1% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 25.13%
Sligo Rovers
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.09% (+0.01)
Total : 28.56%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wilson Waweru 20' goal
  • 34' yellowcard
  • Darie Patton 34' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 49' yellowcard
  • Reece Hutchinson 90' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 51'
  • yellowcard Kyle White 63'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Kyle White 53' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 59' yellowcard
  • Kyle White 60' redcard
  • Conan Noonan 76' yellowcard
  • Dean McMenamy 80' yellowcard
  • goal Gareth McElroy 8'
  • goal Owen Elding 11'
  • yellowcard Ronan Manning 44'
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 49'
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 62'
  • yellowcard Connor Malley 71'
  • yellowcard Gareth McElroy 76'
  • goal Francely Lomboto 88'
  • yellowcard John Mahon 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 15, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • Connor Malley 15' yellowcard
  • Oliver Denham 32' yellowcard
  • Jad Hakiki 36' yellowcard
  • Owen Elding 50' goal
  • John Mahon 61' yellowcard
  • Jad Hakiki 82' goal
  • goal Rowan McDonald 13'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 16'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 16'
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 33'
  • yellowcard Navajo Bakboord 51'
  • goal Conan Noonan 58'
  • yellowcard Stephen McMullan 75'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Aug 31, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Wilson Waweru 18' goal
  • Reece Hutchinson 32' yellowcard
  • Oliver Denham 40' yellowcard
  • Niall Morahan 56' yellowcard
  • Simon Power 72' goal
  • yellowcard Darragh Power 10'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 41'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Ben McCormack 25' goal
  • Connor Parsons 60' goal
  • Padraig Amond 67' goal
  • Darragh Power 78' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 87' goal
  • yellowcard Reece Hutchinson 40'
  • goal Wilson Waweru 86'