Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.