Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.35% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.