League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Graham Burke 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Byrne 67' yellowcard
  • Michael Noonan 67' yellowcard
  • Michael Noonan 69' goal
  • Connor Malley 77' yellowcard
  • Adam Brennan 80' goal
  • Enda Stevens 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Forrester 73'
  • yellowcard Zach Elbouzedi 73'
  • yellowcard Glory Nzingo 79'
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 86'

Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
Shamrock 1 - 2 Sligo
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Roberto Lopes

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Bohemians 0 - 0 St Patrick's
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.35% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Shamrock Rovers 47.44% (+0.19)
Draw 27.35% (-0.08)
St Patrick's Athletic 25.21% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.09% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.62% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 27.38% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 48.36% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.64% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 25.81% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.19% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.05% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.95% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Shamrock Rovers 36.24% (+0.02)
Draw 42.89%
St Patrick's Athletic 20.88%

Team To Score First

Shamrock Rovers 53.93% (+0.08)
No Goal 8.52% (-0.05)
St Patrick's Athletic 37.55% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 49.7% (+0.17)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.01)
Under 8 38.33% (-0.18)
Over 9 38.24% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.02)
Under 9 50.3% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 28.17% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 71.83% (-0.11)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 44.14% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 55.86% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 18.82% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 81.18% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.23% (-0.02)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.03% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.7% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.3% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.44%
Under 3.5 97.56%

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 47.44%
Draw 27.35%
St Patrick's Athletic 25.2%
Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.17% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.29% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.47% (+0.02)
Total : 47.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 27.35%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.2%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 19, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Michael Noonan 22' goal
  • Graham Burke 36' goal
  • Graham Burke 50' goal
  • Aaron Greene 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 38'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 60'
  • yellowcard Brandon Kavanagh 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Hoare 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 25' yellowcard
  • Mason Melia 32' goal
  • Joe Redmond 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jack Byrne 37'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 67'
  • yellowcard Lee Grace 68'
  • goal Lee Grace 88'
  • yellowcard Daniel Cleary 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • 4' goal
  • Cory O'Sullivan 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Grant 64' goal
  • Gary O'Neil 87' yellowcard
  • Josh Honohan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 21'
  • yellowcard Axel Sjoberg 45'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 27, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Graham Burke 55' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Redmond 1'
  • goal Jake Mulraney 13'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 51'
  • goal Jake Mulraney 59'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Tom Grivosti 17' yellowcard
  • Ruairi Keating 76' goal
  • Joe Redmond 88' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 90'+6' goal
  • goal Johnny Kenny 32'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 58'
  • yellowcard Lee Steacy 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Byrne 89'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watts 90'