Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.