League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Lee Grace 59' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watts 71' yellowcard
  • John McGovern 71' yellowcard
  • Jake Mulraney 71' yellowcard
  • Aaron Greene 78' yellowcard
  • Dylan Watts 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Afolabi Akinyemi 46'
  • yellowcard James Olayinka 46'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 68'
  • yellowcard Conor Barr 68'

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Bohemians 3 - 2 Shamrock
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Roberto Lopes

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 4 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Shamrock Rovers 50.17% (+0.07)
Draw 26.8%
Derry City 23.04% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.9% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.85% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.2%
Under 3.5 75.8%
Over 4.5 13.34%
Under 4.5 86.66%

First Half Winner

Shamrock Rovers 34.29%
Draw 42.12% (-0.03)
Derry City 23.59% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Shamrock Rovers 52.62% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.62%
Derry City 38.76% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.01% (-0.27)
Equal 8 12.08% (-0.02)
Under 8 40.91% (+0.28)
Over 9 35.7% (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.32% (-0.04)
Under 9 52.99% (+0.27)
Over 10.5 25.94% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 74.06% (+0.16)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 44.77% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.23% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.63% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.14% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.86% (-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 57.86% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 42.14% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.43% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.57% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 7.14% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.19% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 50.17%
Draw 26.8%
Derry City 23.03%
Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 12.32% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 7.02% (+0.02)
Total : 50.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.8%
Derry City
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.69% (-0.02)
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Oct 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Carl Winchester 9' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 15' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 59' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 65' goal
  • yellowcard Cory O'Sullivan 7'
  • goal Michael Noonan 70'
  • goal Aaron McEneff 89'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron McEneff 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 28, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Edward McGinty 23' redcard
  • Jack Byrne 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 18'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 31'
  • redcard Danny Mullen 41'
  • redcard Danny Mullen 42'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 69'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Paul McMullan 41' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 53' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 68' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 90'+2' goal
  • goal Dylan Watts 26'
  • yellowcard Lee Grace 34'
  • yellowcard Gary O'Neil 55'
  • yellowcard Johnny Kenny 68'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
May 20, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Johnny Kenny 7' goal
  • Josh Honohan 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Daniel Cleary 51' yellowcard
  • Aaron McEneff 86' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 85'