League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Bohemians 3 - 2 Shamrock
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Roberto Lopes

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 4 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw has a probability of 26.44% and a win for Derry City has a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Derry City win it is 0-1 (7.19%).

Result

Shamrock Rovers 50.67%
Draw 26.44%
Derry City 22.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.52%
Under 1.5 27.48%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%
Over 3.5 25.3%
Under 3.5 74.7%
Over 4.5 14.2%
Under 4.5 85.8%

First Half Winner

Shamrock Rovers 33.79%
Draw 42.93%
Derry City 23.28%

Team To Score First

Shamrock Rovers 53.25%
No Goal 8.31%
Derry City 38.44%

Corners

Over 8 48.22%
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 39.68%
Over 9 36.78%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 51.78%
Over 10.5 26.84%
Under 10.5 73.16%

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 46.09%
Under 1.5 53.91%
Over 2.5 20.83%
Under 2.5 79.17%
Over 3.5 7.65%
Under 3.5 92.35%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 57.88%
Under 0.5 42.12%
Over 1.5 23.97%
Under 1.5 76.03%
Over 2.5 7.5%
Under 2.5 92.5%
Over 3.5 1.83%
Under 3.5 98.17%

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 50.69%
Draw 26.44%
Derry City 22.88%
Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 7.47%
Total : 50.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.44%
Derry City
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.88%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Oct 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Carl Winchester 9' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 15' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 59' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 65' goal
  • yellowcard Cory O'Sullivan 7'
  • goal Michael Noonan 70'
  • goal Aaron McEneff 89'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron McEneff 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 28, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Edward McGinty 23' redcard
  • Jack Byrne 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 18'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 31'
  • redcard Danny Mullen 41'
  • redcard Danny Mullen 42'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 69'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Paul McMullan 41' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 53' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 68' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 90'+2' goal
  • goal Dylan Watts 26'
  • yellowcard Lee Grace 34'
  • yellowcard Gary O'Neil 55'
  • yellowcard Johnny Kenny 68'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
May 20, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Johnny Kenny 7' goal
  • Josh Honohan 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Daniel Cleary 51' yellowcard
  • Aaron McEneff 86' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 85'