League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
Derry 2 - 1 Sligo
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Alex Bannon

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 0 - 0 Dundalk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw has a probability of 26.36% and a win for Dundalk has a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.49%) , while for a Dundalk win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result

Derry City 49.39% (-4.00)
Draw 26.36% (+1.33)
Dundalk 24.26% (+2.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.29% (+1.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 26.21% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 49.02% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 50.97% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 27.34% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 72.66% (-0.69)
Over 4.5 15.35% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Derry City 34.89% (-3.84)
Draw 41.13% (+0.47)
Dundalk 23.98% (+3.40)

Team To Score First

Derry City 56.71% (-3.54)
No Goal 7.72% (-0.05)
Dundalk 35.57% (+3.59)

Corners

Over 8 50.06% (-0.33)
Equal 8 12.13% (-0.12)
Under 8 37.82% (+0.47)
Over 9 38.43% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.15)
Under 9 49.94% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 28.18% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.82% (+0.04)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 45.96% (-2.05)
Under 1.5 54.04% (+2.05)
Over 2.5 20.56% (-1.80)
Under 2.5 79.44% (+1.79)
Over 3.5 7.69% (-1.09)
Under 3.5 92.31% (+1.10)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 60.57% (+3.54)
Under 0.5 39.43% (-3.54)
Over 1.5 25.95% (+3.29)
Under 1.5 74.05% (-3.30)
Over 2.5 8.12% (+1.69)
Under 2.5 91.88% (-1.69)
Over 3.5 2.42% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 97.58% (-0.63)

Score analysis

Derry City 49.38%
Draw 26.36%
Dundalk 24.24%
Derry City
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.75)
2-1 @ 10.2% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.84)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.28)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.75)
3-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 7.61% (-1.16)
Total : 49.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (+0.42)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.58)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.08)
Total : 26.36%
Dundalk
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 5.87% (+0.62)
0-2 @ 4.02% (+0.42)
1-3 @ 2.01% (+0.35)
2-3 @ 1.73% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.34% (+0.56)
Total : 24.24%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park (Dundalk)
  • Koen Oostenbrink 27' yellowcard
  • Aodh Dervin 51' yellowcard
  • Andy Boyle 82' yellowcard
  • Norman Garbett 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Colm Whelan 16'
  • goal Colm Whelan 16'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 57'
  • goal William Patching 77'
  • yellowcard Duncan Idehen 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 27
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Adam O'Reilly 44' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 64' goal
  • Mark Connolly 67' yellowcard
  • goal John Mountney 21'
  • yellowcard Sean Keogh 57'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 74'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 78'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 78'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • James Gullan 18' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Adam O'Reilly 31' goal
  • William Patching 46' goal
  • Danny Mullen 58' goal
  • Michael Duffy 65' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 14'
  • yellowcard Mayowa Animasahun 42'
  • goal Ryan O'Kane 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Daryl Horgan 19' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 25' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 90'+6' goal
  • goal William Patching 42'
  • goal Ben Doherty 47'
  • goal William Patching 77'
  • yellowcard Paul McMullan 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jordan McEneff 19' goal
  • Brandon Kavanagh 60' goal
  • Michael Duffy 83' goal