League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Adam O'Reilly 40' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 54' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 58' goal
  • James Olayinka 72' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 72' yellowcard
  • Alex Bannon 72' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 75' goal
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 90'+1' goal
  • Michael Duffy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jørgen Voilås 19'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 51'
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 66'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 76'
  • yellowcard Jordan Faria 79'

Derry City vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 0 - 1 Bohemians
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford 0 - 0 Sligo
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.11%).

Result

Derry City 57.77%
Draw 23.86%
Waterford United 18.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.21%
Under 1.5 26.79%
Over 2.5 48.95%
Under 2.5 51.05%
Over 3.5 26.73% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.27% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.33% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.67% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Derry City 41.2%
Draw 40.47%
Waterford United 18.33%

Team To Score First

Derry City 62.3% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.74% (-0.01)
Waterford United 29.96%

Corners

Over 8 61.12%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 27.75%
Over 9 49.48%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 38.88%
Over 10.5 38.31%
Under 10.5 61.69%

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 50.99%
Under 1.5 49.01%
Over 2.5 25.03% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.13% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.87% (+0.05)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 52.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.34% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 19.4% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 80.6% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.16% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.84% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Derry City 57.78%
Draw 23.86%
Waterford United 18.37%
Derry City
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 10.35% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 10.1% (-0.04)
Total : 57.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 23.86%
Waterford United
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 18.37%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 4, 2025 7.45pm
7
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Ryan Burke 18' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 40' goal
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 65' goal
  • Kyle White 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 55'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 56'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 64'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 64'
  • goal Liam Boyce 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Shane Ferguson 18' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 64' goal
  • Brian Maher 67' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 68' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 73' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 74' yellowcard
  • Ben Doherty 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle White 9'
  • goal Kacper Radkowski 39'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 28
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Rowan McDonald 24' yellowcard
  • Sam Glenfield 40' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 68' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul McMullan 51'
  • goal Ben Doherty 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Michael Duffy 11' goal
  • Mark Connolly 21' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 30' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 38' yellowcard
  • Sadou Diallo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darragh Power 20'
  • yellowcard Niall O'Keeffe 23'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 39'
  • yellowcard Kacper Skwierczynski 90'