Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.11%).