Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.