Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.21% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.