League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Shelbourne
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Tolka Park
St Patrick's

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Drogheda 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
John Martin

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 1 - 0 Galway United
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Kian Leavy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic has a probability of 30.92% and a draw has a probability of 28.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win is 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

Shelbourne 40.37% ▲ (+1.78)
Draw 28.71% ▲ (+0.63)
St Patrick's Athletic 30.92% ▼ (-2.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.18% ▼ (-1.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.01% ▼ (-2.02)
Under 1.5 29.99% ▲ (+2.02)
Over 2.5 45% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 2.5 55% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 3.5 23.47% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 3.5 76.53% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 4.5 12.26% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 4.5 87.74% ▲ (+0.93)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 31.22% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 45.16% ▼ (-0.95)
St Patrick's Athletic 23.62% ▲ (+0.16)

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 49.68% ▲ (+0.79)
No Goal 9.14% ▲ (+0.81)
St Patrick's Athletic 41.18% ▼ (-1.60)

Corners

Over 8 53.41% ▼ (-1.48)
Equal 8 11.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 34.6% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 9 41.6% ▼ (-1.30)
Equal 9 11.81% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 46.59% ▲ (+1.48)
Over 10.5 30.94% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 10.5 69.06% ▲ (+1.05)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 37.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 62.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.47% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 95.53% ▼ (-0.15)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 65.24% ▼ (-2.93)
Under 0.5 34.76% ▲ (+2.92)
Over 1.5 30.05% ▼ (-2.95)
Under 1.5 69.95% ▲ (+2.94)
Over 2.5 10.56% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 2.5 89.44% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 3.5 3.03% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 96.97% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 40.37%
Draw 28.7%
St Patrick's Athletic 30.92%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 11.41% ▲ (+1.22)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.65)
3-1 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 40.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.81)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.7%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.58)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.51)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.50)
Total : 30.92%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Shelbourne
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Patrick's
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
St Patrick's
Jun 16, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Shelbourne
  • Joe Redmond 39' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alistair Coote 10'
  • yellowcard 35'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Bone 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Barrett 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Shelbourne
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
St Patrick's
  • Tyreke Wilson 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lunney 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 48' goal
  • Mark Coyle 51' yellowcard
  • Kerr McInroy 90' goal
  • goal Mason Melia 29'
  • yellowcard Sean Hoare 53'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
St Patrick's
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
Shelbourne
  • Jamie Lennon 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 27'
  • yellowcard John Martin 28'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Shelbourne
Sep 30, 2024 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
St Patrick's
  • Patrick Barrett 14' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 70' yellowcard
  • Rayhaan Tulloch 76' goal
  • Matthew Smith 81' goal
  • Kameron Ledwidge 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthew Smith 90'+3' redcard
  • John Martin 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 10'
  • goal Joe Redmond 22'
  • goal Brandon Kavanagh 63'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 79'
  • goal Al-Amin Kazeem 88'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 90'+6'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
St Patrick's
May 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
Shelbourne
  • Jamie Lennon 19' yellowcard
  • Ryan McLaughlin 70' yellowcard
  • Jake Mulraney 73' goal
  • Conor Keeley 80' yellowcard
  • Danny Rogers 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Boyd 14'
  • yellowcard John O'Sullivan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 72'
  • yellowcard Patrick Barrett 81'
  • goal Evan Caffrey 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 90'+7'

Form Data

Drogheda 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Galway United
Waterford 1 - 1 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 4 - 1 Longford Town
Bray 3 - 0 Shelbourne
Bohemians 2 - 2 Shelbourne
St Patrick's 1 - 0 Galway United
St Patrick's 4 - 0 Dundalk
Shamrock 2 - 0 St Patrick's
Bohemians 0 - 0 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 1 - 1 Cork City
Bray 0 - 3 St Patrick's