League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Shelbourne
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
St Patrick's
  • Evan Caffrey 46' yellowcard
  • Maill Lundgren 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 63' yellowcard
  • John Martin 63' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 72' goal
  • John Martin 75' goal
  • Ali Coote 83' yellowcard
  • goal R. Edmondson 56'
  • goal R. Edmondson 61'
  • yellowcard Aidan Keena 69'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 74'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 74'
  • goal Max Mata 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ronan Boyce 90'+4'

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Drogheda 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
John Martin

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 1 - 0 Galway United
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Shelbourne 40.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 28.72% ▲ (+0.01)
St Patrick's Athletic 30.85% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 30.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 45%
Under 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 23.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.73% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 31.22%
Draw 45.17% ▲ (+0.02)
St Patrick's Athletic 23.62%

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 49.69% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
St Patrick's Athletic 41.16% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 34.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 41.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 46.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.94%
Under 10.5 69.06%

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 37.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.51% ▼ (-0.02)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 65.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 34.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 29.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 70.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 40.43%
Draw 28.71%
St Patrick's Athletic 30.85%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 28.71%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.85%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Shelbourne
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Patrick's
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
St Patrick's
Jun 16, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Shelbourne
  • Joe Redmond 39' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alistair Coote 10'
  • yellowcard 35'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Bone 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Barrett 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Shelbourne
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
St Patrick's
  • Tyreke Wilson 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lunney 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 48' goal
  • Mark Coyle 51' yellowcard
  • Kerr McInroy 90' goal
  • goal Mason Melia 29'
  • yellowcard Sean Hoare 53'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
St Patrick's
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
Shelbourne
  • Jamie Lennon 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 27'
  • yellowcard John Martin 28'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Shelbourne
Sep 30, 2024 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
St Patrick's
  • Patrick Barrett 14' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 70' yellowcard
  • Rayhaan Tulloch 76' goal
  • Matthew Smith 81' goal
  • Kameron Ledwidge 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthew Smith 90'+3' redcard
  • John Martin 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 10'
  • goal Joe Redmond 22'
  • goal Brandon Kavanagh 63'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 79'
  • goal Al-Amin Kazeem 88'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 90'+6'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
St Patrick's
May 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
Shelbourne
  • Jamie Lennon 19' yellowcard
  • Ryan McLaughlin 70' yellowcard
  • Jake Mulraney 73' goal
  • Conor Keeley 80' yellowcard
  • Danny Rogers 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Boyd 14'
  • yellowcard John O'Sullivan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 72'
  • yellowcard Patrick Barrett 81'
  • goal Evan Caffrey 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 90'+7'

Form Data

Drogheda 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Galway United
Waterford 1 - 1 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 4 - 1 Longford Town
Bray 3 - 0 Shelbourne
Bohemians 2 - 2 Shelbourne
St Patrick's 1 - 0 Galway United
St Patrick's 4 - 0 Dundalk
Shamrock 2 - 0 St Patrick's
Bohemians 0 - 0 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 1 - 1 Cork City
Bray 0 - 3 St Patrick's