Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.65% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.