League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
  • H. Rylah 10' goal
  • Kévin Santos 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 59' yellowcard
  • D. Markey 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Henry-Francis 8'
  • yellowcard James Norris 31'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 72'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 72'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 84'

Derry City vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 1 - 0 Derry
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 2 - 2 Shamrock
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Derry City 49.25% (-0.05)
Draw 25.04%
Shelbourne 25.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.6% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.39%
Under 3.5 70.61%
Over 4.5 16.49%
Under 4.5 83.51%

First Half Winner

Derry City 36.15%
Draw 41.46%
Shelbourne 22.39%

Team To Score First

Derry City 56.33%
No Goal 6.65%
Shelbourne 37.02%

Corners

Over 8 52.06% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.85%
Under 8 36.09% (+0.02)
Over 9 40.51% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.02)
Under 9 47.94% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 30.17% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 69.83% (+0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 46.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.12% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.27% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.73% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.86% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.14% (+0.02)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 62.06% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.94% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.24% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.76% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.47% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.53% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.4% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Derry City 49.26%
Draw 25.05%
Shelbourne 25.72%
Derry City
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 7.85% (-0.02)
Total : 49.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.4%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.05%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59% (+0.01)
Total : 25.72%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Martin 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 33'
  • goal Michael Duffy 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 11' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 15' goal
  • Sean Boyd 45' goal
  • Sean Boyd 53' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 84' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 14'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 22'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 38'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jacob Davenport 78' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wood 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 86'
  • yellowcard Conor Kearns 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 49' yellowcard
  • John Martin 51' yellowcard
  • Shane Griffin 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 11'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 32'
  • redcard Sam Todd 35'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 35'