League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 1 - 0 Derry
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Shelbourne 2 - 3 St Patrick's
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Shelbourne has a probability of 25.71% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Shelbourne win is 0-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12%).

Result

Derry City 49.3% (+0.12)
Draw 25.04% (-0.04)
Shelbourne 25.71% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.29% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.45% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.55% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.39% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.61% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.49% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.51% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Derry City 36.15% (-0.04)
Draw 41.46% (+0.03)
Shelbourne 22.39% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Derry City 56.33% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.65% (-0.01)
Shelbourne 37.02% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 52.07% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.08% (-0.18)
Over 9 40.52% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.93% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 30.18% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 69.82% (-0.15)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 46.93% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.07% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.3% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.7% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.87% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.13% (-0.04)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 62.05% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 37.95% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 28.23% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.77% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.46% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 90.54% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.59% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.41% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Derry City 49.31%
Draw 25.05%
Shelbourne 25.7%
Derry City
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.38% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 4.34% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 7.86% (+0.04)
Total : 49.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.05%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.03)
Total : 25.7%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Martin 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 33'
  • goal Michael Duffy 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 11' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 15' goal
  • Sean Boyd 45' goal
  • Sean Boyd 53' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 84' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 14'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 22'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 38'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jacob Davenport 78' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wood 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 86'
  • yellowcard Conor Kearns 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 49' yellowcard
  • John Martin 51' yellowcard
  • Shane Griffin 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 11'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 32'
  • redcard Sam Todd 35'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 35'