League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
Oriel Park

Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 5 - 0 Waterford
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Eoin Kenny

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
Sligo 0 - 2 Shamrock
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Jad Hakiki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw has a probability of 18.52% and a win for Sligo Rovers has a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.55%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it is 0-1 (3.65%).

Result

Dundalk 70.01% (+0.56)
Draw 18.52% (-0.27)
Sligo Rovers 11.42% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.1% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16%
Under 1.5 19.84%
Over 2.5 58.28% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.72% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.29% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 64.71% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 24.06% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 75.94% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Dundalk 47.79% (+0.04)
Draw 36.49%
Sligo Rovers 15.73% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Dundalk 69.39% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.14% (-0.04)
Sligo Rovers 25.47% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 65.32% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.3%
Under 8 24.38% (+0.10)
Over 9 54.18% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 34.68% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 43.12% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 56.88% (+0.09)

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 64.72% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 35.28% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 37.99% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 62.01% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 18.86% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 81.14% (-0.21)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 44.11% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 55.89% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 15.37% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 84.63% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 4.02% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 95.98% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 0.93% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 99.07% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Dundalk 70.01%
Draw 18.52%
Sligo Rovers 11.42%
Dundalk
2-0 @ 11.94% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 11% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.02% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.06% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 18.7% (+0.24)
Total : 70.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 18.52%
Sligo Rovers
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 3.31% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.77% (-0.05)
Total : 11.42%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Sep 21, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Niall Morahan 43' yellowcard
  • Wilson Waweru 69' goal
  • Ellis Chapman 77' goal
  • goal Robbie Benson 24'
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 55'
  • redcard Hayden Cann 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Cameron Elliott 25' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 54' goal
  • Sam Durrant 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Wiggett 37'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Fabrice Hartmann 16' goal
  • Charlie Wiggett 28' yellowcard
  • Tyreke Wilson 48' yellowcard
  • Edward McGinty 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 28'
  • goal James Gullan 49'
  • yellowcard Zak Bradshaw 75'
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 82'
  • yellowcard Zac Johnson 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Oriel Park
  • Zak Bradshaw 15' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 68' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Chapman 7'
  • goal Fabrice Hartmann 14'
  • yellowcard Reece Hutchinson 18'
  • yellowcard Connor Malley 24'
  • goal Ellis Chapman 33'
  • goal Max Mata 39'
  • goal Max Mata 62'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • David Cawley 39' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Hartmann 56' yellowcard
  • Robbie Burton 58' yellowcard
  • Robbie Burton 58' redcard
  • Kailin Barlow 80' yellowcard
  • Frank Liivak 80' yellowcard
  • Greg Bolger 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Daryl Horgan 19'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 39'
  • goal Sam Durrant 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 27
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Daniel Kelly 10' goal
  • Louie Annesley 35' yellowcard
  • Connor Malley 85' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Browning 51'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alves Correia 60'