Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 69.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.74% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.