Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.87% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-2 (5.26%).