League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Oriel Park

Dundalk vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 2 - 2 Dundalk
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Danny Mullen

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford 0 - 1 Bohemians
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw has a probability of 21.87% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-2 (5.26%).

Result

Dundalk 59.14% (-0.09)
Draw 21.87% (+0.06)
Waterford United 19.04% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.05% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.95% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.66% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.61% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 65.39% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 21.7% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.3% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Dundalk 45.61%
Draw 36.65%
Waterford United 17.75%

Team To Score First

Dundalk 63.92%
No Goal 5.32%
Waterford United 30.76%

Corners

Over 8 60.46%
Equal 8 10.95% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.59% (-0.02)
Over 9 49.07% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.39% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.54%
Over 10.5 38.17% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 61.83% (+0.02)

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 57.37% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.63% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30.87% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 69.13% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.02% (-0.02)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 55.47% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 44.53% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.79% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 76.21% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.82% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 92.18% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 2.04% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.96% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Dundalk 59.14%
Draw 21.87%
Waterford United 19.03%
Dundalk
2-1 @ 10.57% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 13.78%
Total : 59.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32%
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 21.87%
Waterford United
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-1 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.84% (+0.03)
Total : 19.03%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Sam Bellis 5' goal
  • Padraig Amond 16' goal
  • Ben McCormack 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 30'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 53'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 54'
  • goal James Gullan 76'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park
  • Cameron Elliott 76' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 87' yellowcard
  • Sean Keogh 88' yellowcard
  • goal Connor Parsons 19'
  • yellowcard Darragh Power 29'
  • yellowcard Connor Parsons 36'
  • goal Dean McMenamy 43'
  • yellowcard Ben McCormack 53'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Maleace Asamoah 2' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 44' goal
  • Christie Pattison 53' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 76' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 78' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 89' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Benson 22'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 35'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 36'
  • yellowcard John Mountney 54'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Sam Durrant 85' yellowcard
  • Cameron Elliott 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niall O'Keeffe 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 45'+1' goal
  • Sean Murray 78' yellowcard
  • Daniel Cleary 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Wordsworth 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Sep 3, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Niall O'Keeffe 49' yellowcard
  • Anthony Wordsworth 77' goal
  • goal Sean Murray 5'
  • yellowcard Daniel Cleary 48'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 49'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 74'
  • yellowcard Jeong-uh Han 81'