Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.