Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 2-1 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.