League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs Bohemians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 4 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Bohemians

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Bohemians 3 - 2 Shamrock
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Colm Whelan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Waterford United has a probability of 25.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Waterford United win is 2-1 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Waterford United 25.74% (-0.18)
Draw 24.75% (-0.15)
Bohemians 49.51% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.62% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 22.03% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 55.49% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 44.51% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 33.63% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 66.37% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 19.95% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 80.05% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 22.47% (-0.02)
Draw 40.78% (-0.02)
Bohemians 36.75% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 36.16% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.23% (-0.05)
Bohemians 57.61% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.77% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.52% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.71% (+0.08)
Over 9 51.64% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.23% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 40.78% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 59.22% (+0.08)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 30.28% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 69.72% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 11.32% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.68% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.48% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.52% (+0.02)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5 79.37% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 20.63% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 49.54% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 50.46% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 24.15% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 75.85% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 9.81% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 90.19% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Waterford United 25.73%
Draw 24.77%
Bohemians 49.5%
Waterford United
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 6.18% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.58% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Total : 25.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 24.77%
Bohemians
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.75% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.18% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.51% (+0.18)
Total : 49.5%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 30, 2026 1.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Conor Carty 24' goal
  • goal Ross Tierney 13'
  • goal Sam Todd 16'
  • goal Harry Vaughan 79'
  • goal Josh Harpur 89'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Padraig Amond 45' goal
  • Conan Noonan 45'+3' goal
  • Dean McMenamy 90' yellowcard
  • Ben McCormack 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam McDonnell 40'
  • goal Dawson Devoy 71'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Dalymount Park
  • James Clarke 29' yellowcard
  • James Clarke 49' goal
  • Dayle Rooney 52' yellowcard
  • Rhys Brennan 90' yellowcard
  • goal James Olayinka 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Kyle White 48'
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 58'
  • yellowcard Grant Horton 61'
  • yellowcard Kacper Radkowski 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Conan Noonan 29' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 41' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 41' yellowcard
  • Dean McMenamy 62' yellowcard
  • goal Colm Whelan 15'
  • yellowcard Dayle Rooney 22'
  • yellowcard Dayle Rooney 22'
  • goal Colm Whelan 34'
  • goal Colm Whelan 42'
  • yellowcard Adam McDonnell 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 35
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Sam Glenfield 90'+3' goal
  • goal James Clarke 81'