Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.