Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.