League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
Oriel Park

Dundalk vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 5.00pm
Dundalk 2 - 0 St Patrick's
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Eoin Kenny

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 5.00pm
Sligo 0 - 0 Derry
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw has a probability of 27.41% and a win for Derry City has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.87%) , while for a Derry City win it is 0-1 (8.25%).

Result

Dundalk 46.26% (-0.15)
Draw 27.41% (+0.06)
Derry City 26.33% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.92% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.73% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.98%
Under 2.5 54.02%
Over 3.5 23.86%
Under 3.5 76.14% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.95% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.05% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Dundalk 36.87%
Draw 41.92%
Derry City 21.22%

Team To Score First

Dundalk 54.03% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.75% (+0.01)
Derry City 37.22% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.18% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 24.68% (-0.04)
Over 9 52.2% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 35.82% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 40.48% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.52% (-0.04)

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 41.86% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.14% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.8% (+0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 60.93% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 39.07% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 26.11% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 73.89% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.59% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.41% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.7% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dundalk 46.26%
Draw 27.42%
Derry City 26.33%
Dundalk
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 6.04% (-0.04)
Total : 46.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 27.42%
Derry City
0-1 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.14% (+0.02)
Total : 26.33%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Patrick McClean 49' goal
  • Dipo Akinyemi 74' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 74' yellowcard
  • Henry Rylah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Kenny 21'
  • yellowcard Vincent Leonard 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Vinnie Leonard 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ronan Teahan 62'
  • yellowcard Gbemi Arubi 63'
  • goal Gbemi Arubi 65'
  • yellowcard Tyreke Wilson 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park (Dundalk)
  • Koen Oostenbrink 27' yellowcard
  • Aodh Dervin 51' yellowcard
  • Andy Boyle 82' yellowcard
  • Norman Garbett 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Colm Whelan 16'
  • goal Colm Whelan 16'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 57'
  • goal William Patching 77'
  • yellowcard Duncan Idehen 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 27
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Adam O'Reilly 44' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 64' goal
  • Mark Connolly 67' yellowcard
  • goal John Mountney 21'
  • yellowcard Sean Keogh 57'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 74'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 78'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 78'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • James Gullan 18' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Adam O'Reilly 31' goal
  • William Patching 46' goal
  • Danny Mullen 58' goal
  • Michael Duffy 65' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 14'
  • yellowcard Mayowa Animasahun 42'
  • goal Ryan O'Kane 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Daryl Horgan 19' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 25' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 90'+6' goal
  • goal William Patching 42'
  • goal Ben Doherty 47'
  • goal William Patching 77'
  • yellowcard Paul McMullan 85'