Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.96% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.