League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
Richmond Park

St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 4 - 1 Drogheda
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw has a probability of 24.96% and a win for Derry City has a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Derry City win it is 0-1 (6.24%).

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 57.17% (-0.06)
Draw 24.96% (+0.07)
Derry City 17.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.81% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.7% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 27.3% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 47.31% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.69% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 24.86% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75.14% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.5% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.5% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

St Patrick's Athletic 37.53% (+0.04)
Draw 41.32% (-0.03)
Derry City 21.15% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

St Patrick's Athletic 56.48% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.07% (+0.05)
Derry City 35.45% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.03% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.82% (+0.08)
Under 8 34.15%
Over 9 42.33% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.07)
Under 9 45.97% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 31.71% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 68.29% (+0.20)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 50.02% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 49.98% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 23.63% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 76.37% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.41% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 90.59% (+0.05)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 52.68% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 47.32% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.83% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 81.17% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 4.92% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.08% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 57.16%
Draw 24.95%
Derry City 17.86%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 10.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 9.38% (-0.05)
Total : 57.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.95%
Derry City
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.75%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Paul McMullan 12' yellowcard
  • Shane Ferguson 37' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 48' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 61'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Aidan Keena 16' goal
  • Tom Grivosti 47' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 48' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 67' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 39'
  • redcard Carl Winchester 47'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 48'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 35
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 36' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 44' goal
  • Kian Leavy 84' yellowcard
  • Romal Palmer 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duncan Idehen 23'
  • yellowcard Ronan Boyce 25'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 34'
  • yellowcard Shane McEleney 53'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davenport 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 22'
  • goal Paul McMullan 76'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 88'