League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Glory Nzingo 66' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 66' yellowcard
  • Anto Breslin 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 70'
  • yellowcard Joshua Thomas 71'
  • yellowcard Conor Barr 71'
  • yellowcard B. Cotter 71'
  • yellowcard James Clarke 71'

St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 4 - 1 Drogheda
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.96% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 57.16% (-0.02)
Draw 24.96%
Derry City 17.88% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.79% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.7%
Under 1.5 27.3%
Over 2.5 47.28% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.72% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.88% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.12% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.52% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.48% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

St Patrick's Athletic 37.54% (+0.01)
Draw 41.31% (-0.01)
Derry City 21.15%

Team To Score First

St Patrick's Athletic 56.46% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.07%
Derry City 35.47% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.95% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.83% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.22% (+0.08)
Over 9 42.26% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 46.05% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 31.64% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 68.36% (+0.07)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 50.03% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.97% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.63%
Under 2.5 76.37%
Over 3.5 9.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.58% (-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 52.67% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 47.33% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.83%
Under 1.5 81.17%
Over 2.5 4.92%
Under 2.5 95.08%
Over 3.5 1.08%
Under 3.5 98.92%

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 57.17%
Draw 24.95%
Derry City 17.86%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.72% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.55% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5%
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 9.39% (+0.01)
Total : 57.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.95%
Derry City
0-1 @ 6.24%
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Paul McMullan 12' yellowcard
  • Shane Ferguson 37' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 48' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 61'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Aidan Keena 16' goal
  • Tom Grivosti 47' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 48' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 67' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 39'
  • redcard Carl Winchester 47'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 48'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 35
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 36' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 44' goal
  • Kian Leavy 84' yellowcard
  • Romal Palmer 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duncan Idehen 23'
  • yellowcard Ronan Boyce 25'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 34'
  • yellowcard Shane McEleney 53'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davenport 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 22'
  • goal Paul McMullan 76'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 88'