Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.32% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.75%).