League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
Eamonn Deacy Park

Galway United vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 2 - 0 Galway United
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 2 - 2 Drogheda
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Galway United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Derry City has a probability of 31.01% and a draw has a probability of 29.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Derry City win is 0-1 (9.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.67%).

Result

Galway United 39.87%
Draw 29.16%
Derry City 31.01% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.15% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.85% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.39% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 56.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 21.9% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 78.1%
Over 4.5 11.33% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.67% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Galway United 29.44%
Draw 44.26%
Derry City 26.3%

Team To Score First

Galway United 47% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.63% (-0.01)
Derry City 43.37%

Corners

Over 8 60.07%
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 28.73%
Over 9 48.44%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 39.93%
Over 10.5 37.37%
Under 10.5 62.63%

Galway United Goals

Over 1.5 35.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.72% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 64.71% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 35.29% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.06% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.94% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.74% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Galway United 39.87%
Draw 29.15%
Derry City 31.01%
Galway United
1-0 @ 11.4% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.67%
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 29.15%
Derry City
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Total : 31.01%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Holt 18' goal
  • Mark Connolly 20' yellowcard
  • Hayden Cann 73' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 88' yellowcard
  • goal David Hurley 10'
  • yellowcard Greg Cunningham 44'
  • yellowcard Vincent Borden 55'
  • yellowcard Garry Buckley 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 65'
  • yellowcard Evan Watts 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Moses Dyer 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 43' goal
  • Cian Byrne 49' redcard
  • Vincent Borden 51' yellowcard
  • Greg Cunningham 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Walsh 79' yellowcard
  • Vincent Borden 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danny Mullen 16'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • goal Robbie Benson 47'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 57'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 58'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 81'
  • goal Gavin Whyte 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Adam O'Reilly 14' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 53' goal
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 43'
  • goal Moses Dyer 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 52'
  • yellowcard Killian Brouder 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Stephen Walsh 21' yellowcard
  • Conor McCormack 43' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 76' goal
  • David Hurley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 65'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 76'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Ben Doherty 35' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 55' yellowcard
  • William Patching 65' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 86' goal
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 43'
  • yellowcard Jeannot Esua 84'