Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.