Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.86% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.