Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.