League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 6, 2026 5.00pm
The Showgrounds

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
St Patrick's 4 - 1 Sligo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jad Hakiki

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Sligo Rovers has a probability of 28.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win is 1-0 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Sligo Rovers 28.3% (+0.43)
Draw 27.31% (-0.58)
Derry City 44.38% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.28% (+1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.58% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 30.42% (-1.15)
Over 2.5 44.02% (+1.33)
Under 2.5 55.98% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 23.21% (+1.09)
Under 3.5 76.79% (-1.08)
Over 4.5 12.13% (+0.71)
Under 4.5 87.87% (-0.70)

First Half Winner

Sligo Rovers 24.62% (+0.81)
Draw 44.9% (+0.23)
Derry City 30.48% (-1.04)

Team To Score First

Sligo Rovers 39.46% (+2.25)
No Goal 9.06% (-0.69)
Derry City 51.48% (-1.57)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (+4.79)
Equal 8 12.01% (-0.21)
Under 8 26.49% (-4.59)
Over 9 48.79% (+4.45)
Equal 9 12.71% (+0.35)
Under 9 38.5% (-4.79)
Over 10.5 36.63% (+3.71)
Under 10.5 63.37% (-3.70)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 27.18% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 72.82% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 8.76% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 91.24% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 2.34% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.66% (-0.18)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 73.42% (+0.61)
Under 0.5 26.58% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 39.28% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 60.72% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 15.78% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 84.22% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 5.21% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 94.79% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Sligo Rovers 28.3%
Draw 27.32%
Derry City 44.39%
Sligo Rovers
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 6.71% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.81% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.39% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.25% (+0.17)
Total : 28.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.69)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 27.32%
Derry City
0-1 @ 12.43% (-0.34)
1-2 @ 8.95% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 3.62% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.15)
Other @ 5.12% (+0.21)
Total : 44.39%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Adam O'Reilly 60' yellowcard
  • Alex Bannon 82' goal
  • Josh Thomas 90'+1' goal
  • Joshua Thomas 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jad Hakiki 30'
  • yellowcard Archie Meekison 60'
  • yellowcard Archie Meekison 61'
  • yellowcard Sean Stewart 66'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 80'
  • yellowcard Kyle McDonagh 80'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 9, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • William Fitzgerald 90'+2' goal
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 5, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
Apr 22, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Danny Mullen 15' goal
  • Gavin Whyte 25' goal
  • Danny Mullen 46' goal
  • Gavin Whyte 52' yellowcard
  • Hayden Cann 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 32'
  • yellowcard Conor Reynolds 42'
  • yellowcard John Mahon 58'
  • yellowcard Reece Hutchinson 90'+2'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 32' yellowcard
  • Jad Hakiki 45' yellowcard
  • John Mahon 45' yellowcard
  • Connor Malley 62' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 20'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 26'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Harkin 65'
  • yellowcard Shane Ferguson 68'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 87'