Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.