Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.