Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.