Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.