Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Tolka Park

Will Jarvis 46'
John Martin 50'
Ali Coote 61'
Rodrigo Freitas 75'
Sean Gannon 76'
Sean Boyd 81'

B. Cotter 20'
D. Markey 61'
Cameron Dummigan 61'
Adam O'Reilly 61'
James Olayinka 61'
Afolabi Akinyemi 67'
Afolabi Akinyemi 68'
H. Rylah 75'

Shelbourne vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions

D
L
L
W
D
W

League of Ireland Premier

D
L
L
W
D
W

Last game

Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm

Galway United 0 - 0 Shelbourne

Goals scored

16

Top scorer

John Martin

Derry City

All competitions

D
D
L
D
D
L

League of Ireland Premier

D
D
L
D
D
L

Last game

Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm

Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry

Goals scored

16

Top scorer

Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Shelbourne 37.17% ▲ (+0.47)

Draw 29.17% ▲ (+0.35)

Derry City 33.67% ▼ (-0.79)

Both Teams to Score:

51.44% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.12%

Under 1.5 29.88%

Over 2.5 43.75% ▼ (-0.72)

Under 2.5 56.25% ▲ (+0.72)

Over 3.5 22.42% ▼ (-0.83)

Under 3.5 77.58% ▲ (+0.83)

Over 4.5 11.19% ▼ (-0.62)

Under 4.5 88.81% ▲ (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 26.59% ▼ (-0.42)

Draw 46.42% ▲ (+1.71)

Derry City 26.99% ▼ (-1.30)

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 47.38% ▲ (+2.53)

No Goal 9.5% ▲ (+0.33)

Derry City 43.12% ▼ (-2.85)

Corners

Over 8 56.49% ▼ (-1.04)

Equal 8 12.17% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 8 31.34% ▲ (+0.79)

Over 9 44.18% ▼ (-1.22)

Equal 9 12.3% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 9 43.51% ▲ (+1.04)

Over 10.5 32.85% ▼ (-1.26)

Under 10.5 67.15% ▲ (+1.27)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 34.6% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 1.5 65.4% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 2.5 12.29% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 2.5 87.71% ▲ (+0.23)

Over 3.5 3.58% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 3.5 96.42% ▲ (+0.13)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 66.8% ▼ (-0.93)

Under 0.5 33.2% ▲ (+0.93)

Over 1.5 32.39% ▼ (-0.50)

Under 1.5 67.61% ▲ (+0.50)

Over 2.5 10.74% ▼ (-0.77)

Under 2.5 89.26% ▲ (+0.78)

Over 3.5 2.84% ▼ (-0.42)

Under 3.5 97.16% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 37.16%

Draw 29.17%

Derry City 33.66%

Shelbourne

1-0 @ 10.73% ▲ (+0.09)

2-1 @ 8.31%

2-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.40)

3-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.15)

3-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.15)

3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 37.16%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.38% ▲ (+0.16)

0-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.33)

2-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.10)

Total : 29.17%

Derry City

0-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.42)

1-2 @ 8.08%

0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.20)

1-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.15)

0-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.05)

2-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.32)

Total : 33.66%

Head to Head

Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

H. Rylah 10'
Kévin Santos 58'
James Olayinka 58'
James Olayinka 59'
Afolabi Akinyemi 59'
D. Markey 59'
Joshua Thomas 71'
Joshua Thomas 72'
Cameron Dummigan 78'

Jack Henry-Francis 8'
James Norris 31'
Daniel Kelly 34'
Rodrigo Freitas 72'
Will Jarvis 72'
Evan Caffrey 84'
Ali Coote 84'

Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

John Martin 38'
Patrick Barrett 61'
Sam Bone 77'

Sadou Diallo 33'
Michael Duffy 55'
Hayden Cann 68'
Carl Winchester 84'

May 2, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Michael Duffy 14'
Liam Boyce 31'

Kameron Ledwidge 52'

Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 3 1

FT Tolka Park

Sean Boyd 11'
Evan Caffrey 15'
Sean Boyd 45'
Sean Boyd 53'
Patrick Barrett 84'

Michael Duffy 14'
Adam O'Reilly 22'
Carl Winchester 38'
Sadou Diallo 82'

Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Brandywell Stadium

Jacob Davenport 78'
Danny Mullen 87'

Harry Wood 85'
Harry Wood 86'
Conor Kearns 87'

Form Data

Galway United 0 - 0 Shelbourne

Shamrock 3 - 2 Shelbourne

Shelbourne 2 - 3 Dundalk

Sligo 0 - 1 Shelbourne

Shelbourne 0 - 0 Bohemians

Derry 1 - 2 Shelbourne

Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry

Sligo 0 - 0 Derry

Galway United 2 - 1 Derry

Derry 2 - 2 Drogheda

St Patrick's 0 - 0 Derry

Derry 1 - 2 Shelbourne