League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
Tolka Park

Shelbourne vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
John Martin

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Derry City has a probability of 34.54% and a draw has a probability of 28.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Derry City win is 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.23%).

Result

Shelbourne 36.67%
Draw 28.79%
Derry City 34.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.19%
Under 1.5 29.81%
Over 2.5 44.55%
Under 2.5 55.45%
Over 3.5 23.3%
Under 3.5 76.7%
Over 4.5 11.84%
Under 4.5 88.16%

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 26.98%
Draw 44.69%
Derry City 28.32%

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 44.79%
No Goal 9.15%
Derry City 46.06%

Corners

Over 8 57.48%
Equal 8 11.91%
Under 8 30.62%
Over 9 45.36%
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 42.52%
Over 10.5 34.09%
Under 10.5 65.91%

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 34.41%
Under 1.5 65.59%
Over 2.5 12.5%
Under 2.5 87.5%
Over 3.5 3.71%
Under 3.5 96.29%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 67.76%
Under 0.5 32.24%
Over 1.5 32.99%
Under 1.5 67.01%
Over 2.5 11.58%
Under 2.5 88.42%
Over 3.5 3.28%
Under 3.5 96.72%

Score analysis

Shelbourne 36.67%
Draw 28.78%
Derry City 34.54%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 36.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 5.23%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 28.78%
Derry City
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.54%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
  • H. Rylah 10' goal
  • Kévin Santos 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 59' yellowcard
  • D. Markey 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Henry-Francis 8'
  • yellowcard James Norris 31'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 72'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 72'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 84'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Martin 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 33'
  • goal Michael Duffy 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 11' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 15' goal
  • Sean Boyd 45' goal
  • Sean Boyd 53' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 84' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 14'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 22'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 38'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jacob Davenport 78' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wood 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 86'
  • yellowcard Conor Kearns 87'