Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.92% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.