League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
The Showgrounds

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Drogheda 1 - 0 Sligo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
William Fitzgerald

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 2 - 2 St Patrick's
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw has a probability of 25.62% and a win for Sligo Rovers has a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it is 1-0 (7.16%).

Result

Sligo Rovers 20.44% (+0.31)
Draw 25.62% (+0.25)
St Patrick's Athletic 53.99% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.15% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.83% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 29.17% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 45.17% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 54.83% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 23.89% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 76.11% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 12.85% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 87.15% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Sligo Rovers 18.38%
Draw 41.86%
St Patrick's Athletic 39.76%

Team To Score First

Sligo Rovers 28.95% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.48% (+0.22)
St Patrick's Athletic 62.57% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 55.31%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 32.71%
Over 9 43.36%
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 44.69%
Over 10.5 32.45%
Under 10.5 67.55%

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 21.08% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.92% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.15%
Under 2.5 94.85%
Over 3.5 1.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.92% (+0.02)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 79.26% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 20.74% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 46.54% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 53.46% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 20.77% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 79.23% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 7.37% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 92.63% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Sligo Rovers 20.44%
Draw 25.63%
St Patrick's Athletic 54%
Sligo Rovers
1-0 @ 7.16% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 5.53% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.18% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Total : 20.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.48% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.63%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 13.6% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 10.37% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.36% (-0.30)
Total : 54%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Romal Palmer 12' goal
  • Anto Breslin 14' yellowcard
  • R. Edmondson 36' goal
  • Anto Breslin 52' goal
  • Tom Grivosti 72' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 72' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lennon 73' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 76' goal
  • Max Mata 78' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Redmond 3' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kyle McDonagh 46'
  • yellowcard Daire Patton 64'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Callum Lynch 78'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 27, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Aug 10, 2025 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 30, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Cian Kavanagh 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Keena 10'
  • yellowcard Jason McClelland 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Zachary Elbouzedi 36' goal
  • Aidan Keena 37' goal
  • Chris Forrester 52' goal
  • Axel Sjoberg 60' yellowcard
  • Axel Sjoberg 60' yellowcard
  • Joe Redmond 65' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 71' yellowcard
  • Anthony Breslin 72' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 79' goal
  • Barry Baggley 86' yellowcard
  • Barry Baggley 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Barry Baggley 40' (OG)
  • yellowcard John Mahon 60'
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 65'
  • yellowcard Harvey Lintott 72'
  • yellowcard Jad Hakiki 76'
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 78'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Niall Morahan 18' yellowcard
  • Connor Malley 53' yellowcard
  • Oliver Denham 54' yellowcard
  • Owen Elding 83' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Keena 38'
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 85'
  • goal Romal Palmer 90'