Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Galway United win was 1-0 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.