Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.45% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.