Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.73% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.