Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.