Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (10.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.