Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.47% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.