Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.